Why Momcilovic could be the biggest riser in the 2025 class
by Jonathan Garcia


Milan Momcilovic could be the biggest riser in the 2025 draft class. Coming off a freshman campaign where he averaged almost 11 points and 3 rebounds per game on an Iowa State team that won the Big 12 en route to a Sweet 16 appearance, Momcilovic is poised for an even stronger sophomore season. With shooting splits of 42/36/81, he established himself as a primary scorer on a deep Iowa State roster and hit the ground running from game one in the 2023-2024 season. His most notable performances include 18 points and 6 rebounds in the Big 12 championship against Houston (#2 defense in CBB) and a strong 19-point outing against Kansas State during a critical stretch when ISU was 3-2 in Big 12 play.
Momcilovic takes and makes tough shots, seizing the biggest moments when they present themselves. His shot-creating ability for his size is second to none in the Big 12. At 6'8" with a high arc, his jumpshot is nearly unstoppable; out of 340 attempts from the field, you can count the number of times he was blocked on one hand (5). His fundamental footwork allows him to control his destiny in the low post, where his left shoulder fade will leave defenders, even at the next level, mesmerized. Momcilovic is known as a lethal shooter, but he can also attack a closeout at an NBA level, giving him the potential to be more than just a spot-up shooter at the next level. Off-ball movement has been trending upward in the NBA for the last decade, and this is one of Momcilovic’s greatest strengths. With his size and frame, coming off pin-downs with agility and the presence of mind to read his defender, he averaged 1.032 points per possession coming off screens and 0.993 points per possession in spot-up scenarios—his two biggest usage categories on offense. An increase in shooting percentage will make him excellent in both of these categories and could propel him into the first round of the 2025 NBA Draft.
As a defender, he isn’t going to be put on the toughest assignment; however, he can hold his own. As a starter on an Iowa State team that ended as the #1 defensive team in the nation, he shows a willingness to defend at a high level. His biggest flaw on the defensive end is that he is often caught ball-watching on fly-switching situations. In major categories of offensive play types, spot-up shot defense is his only below-average area. He can hold his own in isolation situations, giving up a mere 0.533 points per possession when he is the primary defender. This leads to the biggest question surrounding Momcilovic: How will he handle NBA-level matchups on a nightly basis? While he is much more skilled than athletic, his IQ allows him to manage the matchups he is built for. At 6’8" with a broad frame, he will be able to handle many pro-level matchups and can be hidden in certain defensive schemes, which makes these concerns less significant.
Momcilovic doesn’t fill the stat sheet, making him lean more into the role of a pure scorer, which he performed at a high level given the team he had around him. His usage percentage on possessions last year was 16.7%, which would label him as a role player on an Iowa State team that won the Big 12 tournament, earned a 2 seed in the NCAA tournament, and won 2 games in that tournament before eventually falling to Illinois. With a bigger role in 2024-2025, Momcilovic has a tremendous chance to move up the draft boards, where he is currently projected to be in the high to mid-second round.
